この方法から始めて、それをあなたのケースに適応させることをお勧めします。
% One step at a time.
% Step 1: Suppose you generate a simple linear deterministic trend with
% noise from the standardized Gaussian distribution:
N = 1000; % number of points
x = [(1:N)', ones(N, 1)]; % x values
b = [0.15, 157]'; % parameters
y = x * b + 10 * randn(N, 1); % linear trend with noise
% Step 2: Suppose you want to fit y with a linear equation:
[b_hat, bint1] = regress(y, x); % estimate parameters with linear regression
y_fit = x * b_hat; % calculate fitted values
resid = y - y_fit; % calculate residuals
plot(x(:, 1), y, '.') % plot
hold on
plot(x(:, 1), y_fit, 'r', 'LineWidth', 5) % fitted values
% Step 3: use bootstrap approach to estimate the confidence interval of
% regression parameters
N_boot = 10000; % size of bootstrap
b_boot = bootstrp(N_boot, @(bootr)regress(y_fit + bootr, x), resid); % bootstrap
bint2 = prctile(b_boot, [2.5, 97.5])'; % percentiles 2.5 and 97.5, a 95% confidence interval
% The confidence intervals obtained with regress and bootstrp are
% practically identical:
bint1
bint2